Started out with eight players ( #9 came in late and missed a round of the button) with both the small and big blinds posting with out a player yet. A aggressive player I’ve played with many time raises it in middle position. I’m sure he is trying to steal the absentee blinds so I call in lateposition with a marginal hand of Q, 9 off suit. Everyone else folds leaving 150 in the pot. Flop comes 2,2,5 and the villain bets 50, I call knowing he probably has none of that and figure whatever comes on the turn I will let him bluff at it again then raise him. Q comes on the turn which is great for me. He throws a 100 into the pot but didn’t say anything so by casino tournament rules it only counts as 25. At this point there is 275 in the middle up for grabs so I raise it to 175 and he insta folds. The rest of the tournament didn’t go as well, got pocket A,A’s raised to 150 and got no action. Raised on the button with J, J , small blind goes all in for 125 more ( instacall) and has A,A which holds up. Then I go all in on the small blind with A, 9 off suit. The original aggressive villain calls with A, 4 suited in clubs. ( Player 1 (A
4
): win 29.05% lose 55.78% tie 15.17% EV 0.366Player 2 (9
A
): win 55.78% lose 29.05% tie 15.17% EV 0.634 ) So as you can see I’m a pretty good favorite. Then the flop comes..9
7
Q
(Player 1 (A
4
): win 36.48% lose 63.16% tie 0.35% EV 0.367 Player 2 (9
A
): win 63.16% lose 36.48% tie 0.35% EV 0.633) hit my 9 and in the lead. Fade anything bad on the turn but get smacked in the face with a river club giving him the flush to knock me out.
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Tags: bad beat, poker, Strategy, tournament

